Highlights

Simons Trading Research

Author: simonsg   |   Latest post: Fri, 16 Aug 2019, 5:27 PM

 

Keppel-KBS US REIT - Robust Leasing Momentum; BUY

Author:   |    Publish date:


  • Keep BUY, USD0.88 Target Price, 9% upside. 2Q19/1H19 results are in line, at 25%/50% of our full-year estimates.
  • Key positive takeaways (2Q) are: strong occupancy rate improvement and healthy positive rental reversions, driven by the technology and related services sectors.
  • We maintain that Keppel-KBS US REIT is still undervalued, with a FY19F yield of 7.6%, and a solid 250bps spread over office S-REITs. We are hosting an investor meeting with management tomorrow, and will publish a detailed note after that.

Adjusted 2Q DPU Beats Forecast by 2%

  • Keppel-KBS US REIT (SGX:CMOU)’s 2Q19 revenue and NPI grew 29% and 30% y-o-y, driven by contributions from recently-acquired The Westpark Portfolio, Maitland Promenade I and a higher occupancy rate for its existing properties. Finance costs surged 59% y-o-y on higher borrowings taken to fund acquisitions.
  • Overall adjusted DPU (restated for rights issue) for the quarter rose 7.1% y-o-y, at 2% more than what was forecasted in its IPO prospectus.

Healthy Portfolio Occupancy Rate Improvement in 2Q

  • Keppel-KBS US REIT’s committed more than estimated q-o-q to 94%, underpinned US.
  • In 1H19, Keppel-KBS US REIT leased a total of ~376,000 sqf of office space – this accounted for 8.8% of total NLA, with more than half being lease renewals. More than two-thirds of lease renewals came from the fast-growing technology hubs of Seattle, Austin and Denver, which reaffirms our earlier thesis of booming technology sector office demand.

Positive Rental Reversion of 8.6% Was Achieved for the Leases Signed in 1H19

  • The trend is expected to rents (2019- 2021) ranging USD 15% below the weighted average asking rental rate of USD26 psf. In addition, Keppel-KBS US REIT’s leases have an average inbuilt annual rental escalation of 3%, driving organic DPU growth.

Source: RHB Invest Research - 17 Jul 2019

Share this

Related Stocks

Chart Stock Name Last Change Volume 
Kep-KBS Reit USD 0.765 0.00 (0.00%) 876 

  Be the first to like this.
 


 

184  104  169  645 

ActiveGainersLosers
Top 10 Active Counters
 NameLastChange 
 YZJ Shipbldg SGD 0.99+0.13 
 LionGold 0.0010.00 
 ThaiBev 0.885-0.02 
 KLW 0.0040.00 
 ISR Capital^ 0.0030.00 
 Mapletree NAC Tr 1.33+0.04 
 SingTel 3.21-0.02 
 Seroja Inv^ 0.078+0.046 
 Genting Sing 0.875+0.005 
 Synagie 0.162+0.01 
Partners & Brokers